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Euro Area GDP Flash Estimate

Eurostat's first estimate of how much the euro area economy grew in the quarter, compared with the quarter before.

Impact
Medium impact
Currency
EUR
Schedule
Quarterly, about 30 days after the quarter ends, at 11:00 Luxembourg time
Publisher
Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union
Next release
Not scheduled yet
Latest
0.4% (Q3 2026)previous 0.6%

What it measures

Gross Domestic Product measures the value of the goods and services produced. The calendar shows the preliminary flash estimate of real GDP growth for the euro area, quarter on quarter and not annualised, so 0.3% means the economy grew 0.3% in the quarter.

Who publishes it and when

Eurostat publishes the preliminary flash estimate about 30 days after the end of the quarter at 11:00 Luxembourg time. Fuller estimates follow about 45 and 65 days after the quarter ends.

How it is put together

It is built from the early GDP figures that the member countries send to Eurostat. Several large countries, including France, Germany, Italy and Spain, publish their own first figures on or before the same day.

What traders watch

Because the big countries often report first, traders compare the euro area figure with what those releases already implied. Surprises against that are what move prices.

How markets have usually reacted

Reactions are often modest because much of the result is known from national releases. A clear surprise has sometimes moved the euro and European stock indices in the direction of the surprise.

Common mistakes

  • Comparing it with U.S. GDP without noticing that U.S. growth is shown as an annual rate and euro area growth is not.
  • Ignoring the national figures released earlier.

How a higher or lower figure is usually read

Faster growth than the previous reading is usually read as supportive for the euro; slower growth as negative. Not a signal.

Release history

DatePeriodActualPrevious
Q3 20260.4%0.6%

Trading involves a high risk of loss. This page is information and education, not advice or a signal to trade. See the Risk Disclaimer.

Official source

Eurostat data: Source: Eurostat (ec.europa.eu/eurostat), euro indicators; figures shown as published.

Calendar data: ec.europa.eu

Published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union: ec.europa.eu