What it measures
The PCE price index tracks the prices people in the U.S., or those spending on their behalf, pay for goods and services. This headline version includes food and energy; the core version leaves them out. The calendar shows the change from the previous month.
Who publishes it and when
The Bureau of Economic Analysis publishes it in the monthly Personal Income and Outlays report at 08:30 New York time, usually in the last week of the month, together with core PCE, personal income and spending.
How it is put together
BEA builds it mostly from price data already published in the CPI and the producer price index, with weights that follow what households actually spend on. Spending made for households by others, such as employer-paid health insurance, is included.
What traders watch
Most attention goes to core PCE in the same release. The headline matters more when food or energy prices are moving a lot. Traders also watch personal spending and income for a picture of the consumer.
How markets have usually reacted
Because much of the input is known in advance, surprises are usually small and so are the moves. A firmer reading has still often supported the dollar and weighed on gold.
Common mistakes
- Reacting to the headline when the market is focused on core.
- Missing the revisions to earlier months published in the same report.
How a higher or lower figure is usually read
A higher reading than last month is usually read as supportive for the U.S. dollar; a lower one as negative. Not a signal.
Release history
| Date | Period | Actual | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Related news
- US Core PCE Price Index
- US Consumer Price Index (CPI)
- FOMC Rate Decision (Federal Reserve)
- US Producer Price Index (PPI) Final Demand
- Economic calendar: every release this week in your time zone
- Lot size calculator: keep your risk the same around news
- How to use an economic calendar: what happens around a release, and how to plan for it
Trading involves a high risk of loss. This page is information and education, not advice or a signal to trade. See the Risk Disclaimer.
Official source
This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
Calendar data: fred.stlouisfed.org
Published by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA): www.bea.gov